Animal Spirits: The Market Cap of Taylor Swift

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Posted September 6, 2023 by sean

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It truly is superb how this works.@NAAIM_Official Publicity Index was above 100 in late July, the very best degree since late ’22.

Now after a 5% minor pullback, it’s on the lowest degree this yr.

In actual fact, down 67 pts in 4 wks is the most important 4-wk drop since March 2020. pic.twitter.com/MwVuYqlGPZ

— Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) August 29, 2023

The $SPX fell 1.8% in Aug after surging 19.5% YTD via July. The 13 earlier occasions SPX +>10% via July &⬇️in Aug, it rose each time Sept-Dec by avg of 9.9%. Only one information level, nevertheless it helps the case that the Aug decline was a pullback inside an ongoing uptrend. @NDR_RESEARCH pic.twitter.com/phypwypnA0

— Ed Clissold (@edclissold) September 1, 2023

2010s: I blame the Fed for not letting the monetary system collapse

2020s: I blame fiscal coverage for not letting the monetary system collapse

Name me loopy however most elected officers don’t desire the monetary system to fail

Good luck if that is what you are rooting for tho

— Ben Carlson (@awealthofcs) August 31, 2023

Quickly rising rates of interest have despatched the direct prices to service the nationwide debt up dramatically—and when you account for losses on the Federal Reserve’s portfolio, curiosity funds as a share of GDP are at postwar report highs pic.twitter.com/jyurwFOwkq

— Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 (@JosephPolitano) August 30, 2023

How are actual wages doing? Most measures present they’re up since previous to the pandemic however are nonetheless 3-5% under their instant pre-pandemic trajectory.

This exhibits what it appears like for common hourly earnings defining the pattern based mostly on the 2 years pre-COVID. pic.twitter.com/Y6ULC3PD6G

— Jason Furman (@jasonfurman) July 13, 2023

Consider it or not, home affordability hasn’t modified a lot within the final 40 years.

What obtained inflated was individuals’s want for larger and extra luxurious properties. The median new home in the present day is nearly 1000 sqft larger than 40 years in the past.

Worth per sqft, inflation adjusted: pic.twitter.com/pILKe3vDW3

— Daniel Vassallo (@dvassallo) September 4, 2023

Fastened charts via the most recent house print for these :

1) price per sq ft killed report highs the previous few years
2) mortgage funds close to ranges when charges had been ~20%
3) mortgage cost per sq ft 2x’d the previous few years, however is way decrease than peak charges https://t.co/UfqucmuCiN pic.twitter.com/dWGfqgMaty

— Jake (@EconomPic) September 5, 2023

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