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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Fowl Music of the Day
American Robin, Tetlin Nationwide Wildlife Refuge; Deadman Lake, Alaska, United States.
Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
The Constitutional Order
“Can the 14th Modification block a Trump return to the White Home? A Colorado case could maintain solutions” [Mike Littwin, Colorado Sun]. September 10. “A New Mexico district court docket decide disqualified a county commissioner final yr from holding public workplace for participating within the January 6 rebel. That was the primary time the 14th Modification had been used that approach in 100 years. The commissioner had breached the Capitol, although he didn’t interact in any violence. Trump didn’t interact in bodily violence both. However did he illegally incite it? That’s for a decide to evaluate. And possibly many judges.” • The Democrats can’t appear to get out of their very own approach on messaging. First, by Baude and Paulsen, an election official “disqualifies” Trump. Then, presumably, the Republicans sue, and the matter enters the courts. However the election officers don’t want to attend for a court docket choice, in Baude and Paulsen’s studying; the Fourteenth Modification is “self-executing.” Now I do know the Democrats are working election officers. However wouldn’t it make sense to deliver their principle of the case and their aghastitude into alighnment? Higher messaging from MSNBC and the NGO CREW–
“These involved Colorado residents need to cease Trump utilizing the 14th Modification” [Noah Bookbinder and Donald K. Sherman, MSNBC]. September 10. The authors are each from CREW. “The go well with, filed on Sept. 6 in Colorado District Court docket by Republican and unaffiliated voters, , beneath Part 3 of the 14th Modification, which disqualifies from workplace anybody who took an oath to the Structure after which engaged in rebel. Our group, Residents for Duty and Ethics in Washington, or CREW, together with prime election attorneys and litigators from Colorado, is representing these plaintiffs.” The plaintiffs are bipartisan. “This isn’t an educational train. It could succeed. The truth is, it already has. CREW represented residents of New Mexico who efficiently sued to take away from workplace Couy Griffin — a county commissioner who had helped to incite, recruit for and normalize* violence in the course of the Jan. 6 assault. Griffin was the primary official disqualified beneath the 14th Modification in additional than 150 years. The decide in that case decided that Jan. 6 was an rebel for functions of the Structure, and that somebody who helped to incite it — even when that they had not personally engaged in violence — had engaged in rebel and was disqualified.” And: “The truth that the lawsuit is being introduced in Colorado is just not an accident. The state’s legal guidelines maximize the prospect our plaintiffs will shortly get a good listening to on this important constitutional provision. The state has a statutory provision requiring the secretary of state to exclude constitutionally ineligible candidates from the poll and regulation offering for eligible voters to problem in court docket improper presidential candidates.” • Word that Griffen could possibly be stated to be “officer of the USA.” Trump, many urge, and I agree, is just not, and due to this fact the Fourteenth Modification doesn’t apply to him. NOTE * What the heck does “normalize” imply?
“Trump attorneys transfer “rebel” clause lawsuit aiming to bar him from Colorado poll to federal court docket” [Associated Press]. September 8. “‘Plaintiffs’ problem to Colorado’s capability to put Donald Trump on the presidential poll relies upon solely on the Fourteenth Modification,’ they wrote. ‘Trump’s foundation for elimination of the state court docket motion is federal query jurisdiction beneath Part 3 of Fourteenth Modification.’ CREW’s case is the primary of what’s anticipated to be many challenges filed in varied states by the group and Free Speech for Folks, one other liberal nonprofit. Activists in different states have filed lawsuits through which they symbolize themselves, however authorized observers contend the extra sturdy complaints by the nonprofits usually tend to find yourself on the nation’s highest court docket, which has by no means dominated on the clause. CREW can transfer to return the case to state court docket. It has requested a speedy ruling on the problems earlier than Colorado’s Republican main poll is finalized on Jan. 5.” • Hmm. Trump, curiously, appears to not have fired any attorneys lately. So I assume he’s pleased with this group’s efficiency.
“Disqualifying Trump’s Candidacy Will Take a Key Conviction, Not Wishful Authorized Pondering” [The Messenger]. “Attorneys across the nation are submitting lawsuits in state and federal courts to forestall Trump from being positioned on state ballots. The choice whether or not to place Trump on the poll will probably be made by an official in every of the 50 states. That call will probably be made after the August 2024 social gathering conventions…. So, between August and the election in November, the state and federal courts could also be confronted with adjudicating hundreds of lawsuits. Assuming that a few of these instances get from federal district courts by way of to federal circuit courts, after which to the Supreme Court docket, earlier than the November 2024 election, and that some instances arising out of state courts achieve this as effectively, it is rather doable that the Supreme Court docket may rule that it’s as much as the person states to find out beneath state regulation whether or not Trump needs to be positioned on the poll. What’s the sensible influence of such a ruling? Chaos. There will probably be battles in every state as supporters of Trump and supporters of President Biden struggle to have their interpretation of state regulation enforced. In some states, Trump will probably be positioned on the poll, in others he received’t, and nonetheless different states will probably be mired in litigation that can prolong past the election. Neither Professor Tribe nor Choose Luttig, nor the authors of the regulation assessment article, even think about the probably penalties of their thesis. However it’s irresponsible to not.” Unsure about hundreds if it takes an NGO to make a critical case. Extra: “This concern may have been prevented had the Justice Division’s particular prosecutor, Jack Smith, charged Trump with rebel or rise up or aiding our enemies, which Congress did make against the law beneath 18 U.S.C. § 2383. Regardless of a suggestion by the Home of Representatives’ Jan. 6 Choose Committee, Smith selected to not. Had he, there can be no want for the constitutional disaster that may come up from the authors’ interpretation of the regulation.” • No, Smith didn’t. Doesn’t that make the prima facie case clear?
* * * “The Sweep and Drive of Part Three” [William Baude and Michael Stokes Paulsen, University of Pennsylvania Law Review]. I extremely suggest this piece (and the following dialogue at NC, beginning right here). As a former English main and a fan of shut studying, I’m not averse to “originalism,” of which Baude and Paulsen present a magisterial instance, within the sense that understanding the regulation as a textual content should start with understanding the plain, public which means of the phrases used when the textual content was written. That’s how I learn Shakespeare, or Joyce, so why not the Structure? Simply so long as understanding doesn’t finish there! In any case, I’m working by way of it. One factor I discover is that there do appear to have been moderately quite a lot of rebellions and insurrections, not simply the Civil Struggle. To me, that is parallel to 1 lesson I drew from Mike Duncan’s Revolutions podcast (episode 1): There are moderately quite a lot of revolutions, too. Alert reader Pensions Man summarizes Baude and Paulsen as follows:
The authors undergo an exhaustive textual and originalism evaluation of Part Three, and their Federalist Society leanings don’t deter them from reaching their conclusion that officers in each State who’re charged with figuring out candidate {qualifications} ought to conclude that Donald Trump is disqualified from being on ballots due to the oath he took on Inauguration Day 2017 and subsequently violated by way of his function within the rebel that occurred on January 6, 2021.
Taking “rebel” as learn (I have to do extra studying), this has been extra of my persevering with protection of Part Three.
2024
Time for the Countdown Clock!
* * * “The ‘Why Not?’ grand jury: The Georgia remaining report ought to fear us all” [Jonathan Turley, The Hill]. “I’ve lengthy criticized the misrepresentation of the 2 Georgia calls by the Washington Put up, which later issued a correction in its reporting. Though it lately made a startling contradictory assertion on the reality of its unique claims, the transcript of the calls reveals that Trump didn’t inform officers to easily add greater than 11,000 votes. I nonetheless disagree along with his claims, however I’ve maintained that Trump was making a predictable argument in a settlement negotiation that he solely wanted that variety of votes and {that a} new recount or continued investigation would discover them. My questioning of the usage of the calls as proof of against the law has given many individuals the vapors. They insist that it was preposterous to assume that Trump was truly asking for continued recounts or investigations as a substitute of demanding that Raffensperger commit fraud. But Raffensperger himself lately took the stand and confirmed that the decision was a ‘settlement negotiation’ over whether or not to conduct additional recounts or investigations. The query is when advocacy or inquiries or negotiations grow to be felony acts. Willis’s first grand jury clearly believed that senators who known as for recounts or Raffensperger’s resignation ought to go to jail. The comparability between their suggestions and the eventual indictment doesn’t clearly reply how such acts are distinguishable as crimes.” • A “lack of limiting ideas.”
* * * “Democrats Begin to Panic About Biden” [Wall Street Journal]. “The social gathering freakout is on show. James Carville and Jim Messina, veterans of profitable Democratic campaigns, are chiding the social gathering’s “bedwetters.” However some within the media are saying Mr. Biden ought to announce he received’t run for a second time period. He may depart workplace as a Democratic hero who saved the nation from a second Trump time period, say he completed quite a bit by progressive lights, and let the social gathering nominate somebody from the subsequent era. But no Democrat of stature has been keen to say this publicly, a lot much less problem Mr. Biden within the primaries. For months we’ve requested Democrats who go to us why nobody is difficult Mr. Biden given his unpopularity. Their reply boils all the way down to confidence that Mr. Trump would be the Republican nominee, that he’s the simplest Republican to beat, that Mr. Biden has achieved it as soon as, and {that a} main problem can be extra divisive than it’s price. Maybe that can show to be proper, however what a chance it’s.” • It might be fascinating to see Youngkin v. Pritzker, combating it out on the general public colleges. Will no one consider the youngsters?
“Joe Biden bucks custom, bets huge on early swing-state promoting” [WaPo]. “About 3 in 4 U.S. adults lately informed CNN pollsters that Biden didn’t encourage confidence and raised “critical considerations” about his bodily and psychological competence. However this can be a completely different chief proven within the new advertisements: Right here he’s earlier than Congress saying nobody ought to wager in opposition to America. There he’s on the rope line giving a Black teenager a ‘go-get-’em-tiger’ faucet on the chest. Wages are rising. Manufacturing is again. The distinction helps clarify why the Biden marketing campaign has determined to buck precedent by launching a significant promoting purchase prior to Barack Obama or Donald Trump, the final two presidents to run for reelection. It’s a significant funding for a still-growing marketing campaign. By way of the top of June, Biden’s marketing campaign group had raised lower than $23 million, all in checks no bigger than $3,300. The identical account is now shouldering the prices of the primary weeks of a $25 million, 16-week tv and digital marketing campaign, overwhelmingly aimed on the swing-state voters that can resolve the election…. The complete advert marketing campaign has separate spots to focus on Hispanics — with a Puerto Rican accent in Pennsylvania and a Mexican one in Arizona — with a separate tag line, ‘Somos Nosotros,’ or ‘It’s Us.’ African American spots reward Biden’s work to chop ‘Black youngster poverty’ and develop ‘Black companies.’ An abortion rights message is roofed with a feminine narrator, whereas a younger mother cement mason within the Wisconsin testimonial says Biden is ‘serving to actual folks.’ Not like Obama, who relied closely on direct-to-camera talking for his optimistic spots, these narrated advertisements sometimes unfold as montages of the American folks and Biden in motion.” And: “John Del Cecato, a Democratic ad-maker who labored for Obama and the 2020 marketing campaign of Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, calls the technique a “gamble price making” to lift Biden’s approval score from the low 40s, which is on par with the place each Obama and Trump had been at this level of their reelection cycles, acocrding to Gallup.” And: “, as they’ve primarily deserted the standard strategy of early stockpiling of marketing campaign funds for use within the remaining weeks earlier than Election Day, when candidates are given decrease charges on tv than outdoors teams. Democrats extensively imagine that Biden’s Republican opponent, who most now count on to be Trump, will present greater than ample incentive to open a 2024 spigot of small-dollar donations.”
“Joe Biden Fires 2024 Election Salvo with Ukraine ‘Struggle Zone’ Advert” [Kyiv Post]. “With its warfare zone imagery and macho voiceover it could possibly be a film trailer — however the sunglasses-clad star of a brand new marketing campaign advert is none apart from 80-year-old US President Joe Biden…. The 60-second spot — which debuted on social media on Thursday and can air on TV in US battleground states throughout prime time on Saturday — attracts a stark distinction along with his Republican rivals over the Ukraine warfare. The message is easy: the Democrat’s assist in opposition to Russia’s brutal 2022 invasion reveals world management, whereas Republicans together with Donald Trump have wobbled all over on the problem.”
“What if Biden bows out?” [Salon]. “What is going to Biden face? In a phrase: ‘Huntergate.’ Day-after-day, particularly when the Republicans within the Home start to carry hearings geared toward Hunter Biden, the Republican assault machine will drag the president’s son by way of the mud and attempt to hyperlink Biden to doable corrupt practices. The lie, oft repeated, turns into for a lot of, the reality. All this may increase questions on Biden and is designed to drive up his negatives.” Sure, the letter from fifty spooks received’t work twice. What now? Extra: “Would Biden be ready to day by day defend his household and himself from the pounding that can definitely come? Would it not even matter? This all leaves the very actual chance that Biden may conclude that it isn’t price seeing his household dragged by way of the mud on daily basis of the marketing campaign.” And now the alternate options: “Maybe essentially the most engaging different for the Democrats is Pete Buttigieg… A Democratic dream ticket within the mould of Joe Biden can be Gov. Andy Beshear of Kentucky for president (age: 45), and Gina Riamondo, former governor of Rhode Island and present commerce secretary (age: 52) as vice chairman. Each are pragmatic, centrist Democrats who’ve demonstrated the flexibility to mobilize moderates and independents.” • Please make it cease.
“Contained in the Constructing of President Biden’s Impeachment Protection Workforce (Unique)” [The Messenger]. “In interviews with The Messenger, almost a dozen prime Home Democrats, their aides and West Wing sources described a method plan taking form that can enable Home Democrats to deflect Republican assaults in opposition to the president with out counting on directives from the White Home. ‘It is a battle-tested and tight-knit group of clever combating Democrats, members who’re a part of a really completely different Democratic Caucus than the one which existed previous to the harmful lawlessness and corruption of Donald Trump,’ Rep. Jamie Raskin of Maryland, the highest Democrat on the Home Oversight Committee, informed The Messenger. … The White Home has constructed its personal group to confront the second, crafting a steady of two dozen attorneys and legislative and communications employees to organize for investigations and lead a push again in opposition to a possible impeachment. Biden’s oversight investigations group relies in White Home counsel Stuart Delery’s workplace, the place aides plan to aggressively name out what they are saying are partisan GOP assaults on the president.”
“Ohio’s working class felt abandoned by Democrats. Can Biden win them again?” [Guardian]. Betteridge’s Legislation. Who truly confirmed up in East Palestine? Trump, that’s who. He seemed good, too. After all, there may be abortion, the perennial shiny spot: “Ohio Democrats have been energised by the scale of the victory and turnout in final month’s referendum on a Republican try and make it harder to amend the state structure. The transfer was geared toward making it tougher for voters to enshrine entry to abortion within the structure in one other poll in November. But it surely was defeated by 57% to 43% on an exceptionally excessive turnout for a poll vote in August, reflecting what Democrats see as a significant electoral concern of their favor after the US supreme court docket struck down constitutional protections final yr.” However will abortion be on the poll in 2024? Extra: “Kim McCarthy, the Democratic chair in Greene county, which incorporates a part of jap Dayton, stated her social gathering struggles to shake the notion that, at a nationwide degree, it isn’t taken with working folks. ‘It’s not a secret that our nation is run by company USA Inc. I really feel that limitation stops Democrats from combating for issues that may deliver folks over to their facet, like common healthcare,’ she stated. McCarthy stated that remained a very good a part of the explanation for Trump’s persevering with assist in her county. ‘The attraction of Trump finally is that individuals recognise that our federal authorities is failing us as a society, as a nation. I’m from Australia and I believe probably the most profound issues that I’ve realised over my 25-odd years of dwelling right here is that the US authorities doesn’t care about me and my life,’ she stated.” • The Democratic chair!
* * * “Youngkin on Training: Progressive Left Emphasizing “Equal Outcomes Over Excellence” Whereas Pushing Dad and mom Out Of Youngsters’ Life” [RealClearPolitics]. Youngkin: “[T]he studying loss [from school closures during the pandemic] was not solely deep, nevertheless it’s persistent and due to this fact, we’ve received to place politics down and go to work. And that’s why this high-intensity tutoring program is so essential. It’s three to 5 hours every week of tutoring for studying and math within the classroom, both earlier than or in the course of the day or after faculty techniques get to resolve. It’s not going to price households a penny. It’s being funded by the state and we have now this second the place we see virtually two-thirds of our third by way of eighth graders in danger or failing their math requirements and greater than half in danger to fail or failing their studying requirements.” • Placing apart the varsity closure aghastitude, the tutoring program sounds nice, and would be nice if the faculties had been adequately ventilated (which confers studying benefits as effectively). Which neither social gathering can say, clearly.
* * * “Twilight Of The Democrats” [Public]. “And but Biden has proven no signal of dropping out. Rumors periodically fly that he’s about to announce he received’t run for a second time period. Many thought it will occur in August. The issue for Democrats is that they may have nobody who can substitute him. Kamala Harris is even much less fashionable than Biden, and San Francisco is Gavin Newsom’s albatross.” • Good level on San Francisco — I’m ready for a robotic taxi to kill a homeless particular person — however Newsom is Newsom’s albatross. The French Laundry scandal didn’t get Newsom recalled, nevertheless it’s there to introduce the nation to him: French. Laundry.
“Editorial: Newsom throws South L.A. beneath the broadband bus” [Editorial Board, Los Angeles Times]. “Greater than two years in the past, Gov. Gavin Newsom accredited what was then the nation’s largest-ever funding in public broadband. The $6-billion spending plan was presupposed to lastly bridge the digital divide that has left too many households and companies in low-income and rural communities with out quick, dependable web entry. However final month the Newsom administration minimize initiatives in a few of the neediest, most disconnected communities within the state, together with South and Southeast Los Angeles and East Oakland, whereas including initiatives in a few of the most prosperous, tech-connected communities, together with Beverly Hills and Culver Metropolis.” • The entire piece is price studying. Apparently, “unhealthy maps” are on the root of the misallocation. And for those who the assume the maps are unhealthy accidentally, I’ve a bridge to promote you. Then once more, Newsom’s solely servicing his actual constituency, and what’s unsuitable with that?
“‘We’d’ve achieved the whole lot otherwise’: Newsom displays on Covid strategy” [Politico]. Weak. “Gov. Gavin Newsom stated criticism of California’s powerful Covid-19 restrictions was legitimate and he would have taken a completely completely different strategy, given what he is aware of now in regards to the pandemic. ‘I believe we might’ve achieved the whole lot otherwise,’ Newsom stated in a taped interview set to air on NBC’s ‘Meet the Press’ Sunday.” • Why is it that Democrats all the time assume that the trail to victory is adopting Republican speaking factors? (I imply, you possibly can wager Newsome isn’t speaking about, for instance, ventilating all colleges. Or placing CO2 screens in public areas, as civlized nations like Japan do. He’ll find yourself doing GBD-Lite, after which voters will vote for the actual factor, as they have a tendency to do.
* * * Good:
I’m so very blessed to have my expensive brother @peterdaou as my marketing campaign supervisor. I welcome him to our marketing campaign and motion! We are going to work collectively for reality and justice. https://t.co/A0N7puqpRu#CornelWest2024 pic.twitter.com/11Jah5s1WU
— Cornel West (@CornelWest) September 11, 2023
Daou is educated and technically competent, one thing the West marketing campaign sorely wants (as does the Inexperienced Celebration).
* * * PA: “A Pa. Supreme Court docket race this fall may have huge implications for the 2024 presidential election” [Philadelphia Inquirer]. Pennsylvania is once more anticipated to be an important battleground state within the 2024 presidential election. In 2020, the state Supreme Court docket was on the heart of election points amid battles over mail ballots and former President Donald Trump’s false claims of voter fraud. Voting rights advocates count on comparable challenges in subsequent yr’s election, particularly if there’s a rematch between Trump and President Joe Biden. ‘If we see comparable traits to what we noticed in 2020, the state Supreme Court docket goes to be very important,’ stated Kyle Miller, a coverage advocate in Pennsylvania for Shield Democracy. Pennsylvania voters will select in November between Carolyn Carluccio, a Republican and the primary lady to function president decide of Montgomery County Court docket; and Dan McCaffery, a Democrat and Superior Court docket decide.”
Democrats en Déshabillé
Affected person readers, it appears that evidently persons are truly studying the back-dated publish! However I’ve not up to date it, and there are numerous updates. So I should try this. –lambert
I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Celebration (“the Democrat Celebration is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “reside” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Celebration is, in reality, a tough drawback. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:
The Democrat Celebration is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Pay attention, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Celebration didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working components of the Celebration reinforce one another. Go away apart characterizing the relationships between parts of the Celebration (ka-ching, however not totally) these parts comprise a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with belongings within the press and the intelligence neighborhood.
Word, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.
* * * “Notorious Neo-Nazi weblog praises Mayor Adams’ declare that NYC is being ‘destroyed’ by migrant disaster” [New York Daily News]. “The Each day Stormer, a neo-Nazi weblog operated by infamous far proper conspiracy theorist Andrew Anglin, printed a publish Friday that stated Adams’ feedback made him ‘primarily based,’ a phrase utilized in on-line chat boards to explain a proudly unfiltered particular person. The publish went on to say that Adams’ remarks had been additionally ‘insightful.’ Requested whether or not the mayor’s workplace needed to distance itself from the Each day Stormer publish, Adams spokeswoman Kayla Mamelak accused the Each day Information of ‘legitimizing Nazi web sites.’ • Oops.
Realignment and Legitimacy
“Do Geezers Run the World? Ought to They?” [Counterpunch]. • Do Walmart greeters run the world? From a putatively left publication!
#COVID19
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the deal with given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
Maskstravaganza
“Filters 90% of Dangerous Airborne Particles at PM10 and 65% at PM2.5” [O2 Nose Filters]. “3M’s patented AEM™ (Superior Electret Media) filter expertise depends on the ideas of electrostatic attraction. The excessive seize ratios and prolonged breathability attributed to 3M’s AEM™ materials enable airborne particles to be captured throughout the filter. Moderately than utilizing a ‘display screen’ strategy to dam the passage of particles, the charged fibers act as ‘magnets’ to retain particles whereas nonetheless permitting air to go by way of – making O2 Nostril Filters each breathable and efficient.” And: “”A ‘bare’ virus can’t go wherever except it’s hitching a trip with a droplet of mucus or saliva . . . these mucus and saliva droplets are ejected from the mouth or nostril as we cough, sneeze, giggle, sing, breathe, and speak.” The 3M electrostatic filter materials in our filtered nasal dilators captures 65% of particles PM2.5 or bigger, 90% of particles PM10 or bigger, and the effectiveness quickly approaches 100% above PM10. Which means whenever you breathe by way of your nostril, O2 can block the overwhelming majority of these virus-carrying sneeze and cough droplets which might be careening by way of the air.” • Value a glance? Once I visited the location, I received a pop-up providing me a free trial pack. (Clear your cookies if you wish to see it once more.) Readers, any ideas?
Covid is Airborne
“HEPA filtration reduces transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and prevents nosocomial an infection: A name to motion” [BC Medical Journal]. “Let’s clear the air about HEPA filtration. When sufficient air trade charges usually are not achievable, the addition of HEPA filtration reduces respiratory particles and has the potential to scale back nosocomial COVID, in addition to different pathogens. I hope somebody with the facility to implement HEPA filtration will learn the state of the proof and discover it a name to motion. I hope that my buddy won’t ever must undergo one other week when three of her sufferers die from a pathogen they breathed within the hospital air…. A scientific assessment performed in 2021 recognized 11 research on the effectiveness of moveable HEPA filters for eliminating airborne SARS-CoV-2.[2] A HEPA filter filters 99.97% of aerosols with a measurement of 0.15 μm, with even larger effectivity for different particle sizes (bigger and smaller). SARS-CoV-2 is considered round 0.1 μm. All 11 research confirmed that moveable HEPA purifiers had been in a position to considerably scale back airborne SARS-CoV-2 surrogate particles and augmented different decontamination methods comparable to air flow. Seven of the research had been carried out in settings with minimal or no extra air flow. Placement of the moveable air cleaner in entrance of the topic eliminated extra particles, though placement each in entrance and behind the topic had been efficient. Transportable air cleaners with HEPA filtration needs to be positioned in open area close to the supply of the pollutant, close to the respiration zone of residents, and never behind furnishings.” • Any person inform HICPAC earlier than they slaughter extra sufferers.
We’re progressing, however backwards:
Massachusetts, Act of 1888:
‘Each public constructing and each schoolhouse shall be ventilated in such a correct method that the air shall not grow to be so exhausted as to be injurious to the well being of the individuals current therein.’
The inspectors went from faculty to high school with… 🧵 https://t.co/OawXbHLCiK pic.twitter.com/MZMSJA5T3z
— Maarten De Cock (@mdc_martinus) September 7, 2023
“One thing Terrible”
Lambert right here: I’m getting the sensation that the “One thing Terrible” may be a sawtooth sample — variant after variant — that averages out to a completely excessive plateau. Plenty of exceptionally nasty sequelae, most probably deriving from immune dysregulation (says this layperson). To which we would add mind injury, together with persona modifications therefrom.
* * *
Elite Maleficence
Don’t get your hopes up:
White Home Scenario Room will get $50 million facelift.
Good ceiling.https://t.co/9U8WYejY35 pic.twitter.com/sHfvEyAhhk
— Brebis dans le brouillard (@Sheep_in_fog) September 9, 2023
That’s not Far-UV within the ceiling. It’s only a gentle present.
“Delicate signs”:
COVID hits the U.S. Senate… @SenDuckworth says she examined optimistic right this moment and is experiencing delicate signs.
Extra optimistic exams amongst lawmakers over the subsequent few weeks may complicate efforts to keep away from a authorities shutdown on the finish of the month. https://t.co/d1b2upHEXC
— Julie Tsirkin (@JulieNBCNews) September 10, 2023
Case Knowledge
NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater information, September 8:
Leveling out? I’d attribute this to Labor Day information points (a observe above the chart not seen says the information was delayed) however I’d count on this to be constant throughout areas, which it isn’t.
Regional information:
Apparently, the upswing begins earlier than July 4, which neither accelerates nor retards it.
Variants
NOT UPDATED From CDC, September 2:
Lambert right here: High of the leaderboard: EG.5 (“Eris“). No BA.2.86 right here, not even within the observe, however see under at Positivity.
CDC: “As of Could 11, genomic surveillance information will probably be reported biweekly, primarily based on the supply of optimistic take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. occurring each two weeks. 2. occurring twice every week; semiweekly.” Seems to be like CDC has chosen sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are nothing to fret about. Time will inform.
Covid Emergency Room Visits
NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, September 2:
Lambert right here: One other Labor Day weekend drop, like Walgreens? Usually, three-day weekends don’t coincide with peak an infection!
Lambert right here: I modified this ER chart to a Covid-only chart damaged down by age. Word the highlighting.
NOTE “Charts and information supplied by CDC, updates Wednesday by 8am. For the previous yr, utilizing a rolling 52-week interval.” So not your entire pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “identical to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week interval” is acceptable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate these folks a lot. Discover additionally that this chart reveals, at the very least for its time interval, that Covid is not seasonal, despite the fact that CDC is making an attempt to get us to imagine that it’s, presumably to allow them to piggyback on the prevailing institutional equipment for injections.
Hospitalization
Bellwether New York Metropolis, information as of September 9:
Nonetheless climbing. I hate this metric as a result of the lag makes it misleading.
NOT UPDATED Right here’s a special CDC visualization on hospitalization, nationwide, not by state, however with a date, at the very least. September 2:
A minimum of now we now that hospitalization tracks positivity, which is sweet. Even when we don’t know what number of instances there are. And positivity as excessive because it’s been at any time, apart from Omicron.
Positivity
From Walgreens, September 11:
0.4% Nonetheless pondering the dip is Labor Day information. Or maybe folks had been truly testing for Labor Day, and stopped. Absolutely the numbers are nonetheless very small relative to June 2022, say. Apparently, these don’t correlate with the regional figures for wastewater. (It might be fascinating to survey this inhabitants typically; these are individuals who, regardless of a tsunami of official propaganda and massive peer strain, went and received examined anyhow.)
NOT UPDATED From CDC, traveler’s information, August 21:
A drop!
No BA.2.86 for 2 of the long-delayed assortment weeks.
Deaths
NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, September 6:
Lambert right here: The WHO information is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Knowledge Tracker. Their methodology: “These information have been sourced, through the API from the CDC: https://information.cdc.gov/NCHS/Circumstances-Contributing-to-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Stat/hk9y-quqm. This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Knowledge are provisional and are adjusted weekly by the CDC.” I can’t appear to get a pop-up that reveals a complete of the three causes (prime proper). Readers?
Complete: 1,174,580 – 1,174,558 = 22 (22 * 365 = 8030 deaths per yr, right this moment’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (fairly a bit larger than the minimizers would love, although they’ll speak themselves into something. If the YouGenicist™ metric retains chugging alongside like this, I may must resolve that is what the powers-that-be think about “mission completed” for this explicit tranche of loss of life and illness).
Extra Deaths
The Economist, September 10:
Lambert right here: That is now being up to date day by day. Odd. Based mostly on a machine-learning mannequin. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran without end with a large typo within the Legend, I figured no one was actually it, so I received rid it. )
Stats Watch
There aren’t any official statistics of curiosity right this moment.
Finance: “Finance hits again in opposition to US regulator’s rulemaking spree” [Financial Times]. “Securities and Change Fee chair Gary Gensler’s formidable regulatory agenda is igniting fierce opposition from the monetary trade, which is difficult what it views as egregious overextension of the securities watchdog’s authorized authority. In latest months, the SEC has been focused in lawsuits from the US Chamber of Commerce, a enterprise foyer, over a rule increasing inventory buyback disclosures, and a coalition of personal fairness, enterprise capital and hedge fund teams final week sued to dam sweeping new guidelines for personal fund managers adopted by the SEC final month. Its crackdown on the crypto trade has additionally encountered resistance, as the corporate backing the Ripple digital token challenges an SEC civil lawsuit on the idea that it goes past the company’s energy to manage securities.” • Caught pigs squeal.
Right this moment’s Concern & Greed Index: 52 Impartial (earlier shut: 51 Impartial) [CNN]. One week in the past: 57 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 6 at 1:26 PM ET.
Rapture Index: Closes up one on Earthquakes. “An enormous quake kills over 1,000 in Morocco” [Rapture Ready]. Report Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 186 (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is good.) NOTE on #42 Plagues: “The coronavirus pandemic has maxed out this class.” Extra sincere than most!
Information of the Wired
“Networking for introverts: a how-to information” [The Economist]. “Networking pays off for those who can establish individuals who can deliver you new info however are shut sufficient to your world that this info is helpful. Within the offline world, a instrument like Chatgpt ought to make it simpler to seek out helpful prospects in an inventory of occasion attendees. However you continue to want to beat all of your instincts and strategy them.” • Hmm.
Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a test if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photographs of vegetation. Greens are high quality! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! In order for you your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it initially of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From EMM:
EMM writes: “These items are cool. A tree stump preserved within the lavatory. I’d say it’s fairly outdated.”
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